Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.021778 0.023611 0.025525 0.027674 0.030021 0.032509 0.035345
2025-08-10 0.018781 0.021431 0.024355 0.027825 0.031840 0.036346 0.041799
2025-08-17 0.016538 0.019594 0.023104 0.027446 0.032690 0.038836 0.046617
2025-08-24 0.014835 0.018113 0.022004 0.026981 0.033204 0.040764 0.050697
2025-08-31 0.013592 0.017029 0.021223 0.026744 0.033861 0.042778 0.054880
2025-09-07 0.012582 0.016126 0.020558 0.026544 0.034470 0.044681 0.058952
2025-09-14 0.011754 0.015377 0.020010 0.026414 0.035107 0.046594 0.063086
2025-09-21 0.010965 0.014615 0.019377 0.026102 0.035438 0.048066 0.066654
2025-09-28 0.010416 0.014128 0.019067 0.026183 0.036277 0.050238 0.071285
2025-10-05 0.009849 0.013579 0.018629 0.026042 0.036769 0.051921 0.075278
2025-10-12 0.009418 0.013187 0.018378 0.026136 0.037580 0.054073 0.080055
2025-10-19 0.009003 0.012792 0.018094 0.026154 0.038263 0.056051 0.084660
2025-10-26 0.008511 0.012276 0.017634 0.025921 0.038612 0.057631 0.088889
2025-11-02 0.008185 0.011988 0.017491 0.026158 0.039689 0.060385 0.095168
2025-11-09 0.007730 0.011481 0.016994 0.025818 0.039844 0.061706 0.099215
2025-11-16 0.007290 0.010971 0.016460 0.025385 0.039813 0.062712 0.102781
2025-11-23 0.006937 0.010576 0.016079 0.025163 0.040098 0.064222 0.107269
2025-11-30 0.006620 0.010218 0.015734 0.024976 0.040415 0.065790 0.111933
2025-12-07 0.006341 0.009905 0.015442 0.024855 0.040828 0.067524 0.116985
2025-12-14 0.006043 0.009548 0.015062 0.024562 0.040927 0.068719 0.121132
2025-12-21 0.005844 0.009339 0.014909 0.024638 0.041655 0.071029 0.127442
2025-12-28 0.005615 0.009071 0.014643 0.024506 0.042006 0.072686 0.132638
2026-01-04 0.005443 0.008888 0.014511 0.024594 0.042745 0.075069 0.139348